Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.407036 3.615636 3.837529 4.092376 4.378563 4.691912 5.063578
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.207983 3.495639 3.816725 4.205859 4.670601 5.215827 5.916495
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.097537 3.452091 3.864746 4.389813 5.054700 5.890797 7.062031
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.873930 3.252820 3.706878 4.305340 5.097338 6.149523 7.734696
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.670155 3.059689 3.537647 4.186275 5.077675 6.321343 8.327986
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.525320 2.927949 3.433335 4.139226 5.147246 6.628292 9.208396
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.402681 2.815212 3.343779 4.101967 5.224894 6.961444 10.240825
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.341892 2.777529 3.349260 4.195873 5.507460 7.674205 12.251026
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.192973 2.614537 3.173586 4.013137 5.340554 7.602564 12.656645
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.129119 2.561590 3.145657 4.044985 5.520582 8.186216 14.852252
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.065427 2.504903 3.108106 4.058119 5.671426 8.755484 17.445163
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.972636 2.403286 2.999882 3.951913 5.601993 8.867938 18.827382
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.857657 2.276040 2.862386 3.813707 5.506399 9.014586 20.989140
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.814954 2.247909 2.868381 3.908461 5.860185 10.324137 30.482349
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.789226 2.242282 2.907722 4.065119 6.377872 12.381872 56.240080
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.711667 2.156646 2.817670 3.987536 6.397948 13.085173 82.387150
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.634336 2.067520 2.716534 3.880450 6.336431 13.528373 122.376977
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.576653 2.004856 2.653486 3.836930 6.414477 14.553525 300.770858
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.525367 1.949272 2.598238 3.802438 6.509814 15.772339 106694.644732
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.499883 1.931413 2.603031 3.882941 6.913472 18.865262 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.431977 1.845436 2.490039 3.721935 6.655140 18.413365 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.402238 1.817210 2.472059 3.748822 6.914132 21.280848 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.371650 1.786202 2.447356 3.759490 7.134697 24.489495 NaN